Many of you may have read a piece over at Sports Skeptic a year ago, which compared a smattering of NBA player evaluation metrics. What I found interesting was the concept of "blending" various metrics together, to either explain or predict an NBA season more accurately then any one metric could do on its own. I decided to use the idea put forward by Alex Konkel to determine the All-NBA Teams for 2013.
Alex came up with two "blends" of metrics during his study, the explanatory blend (described what happened) and the predictive blend (predicts what will happen next season). Obviously we'll be using the explanatory blend, to determine who the best players were in 2013. The rough formula for the blend is as follows:
[.5 x old Wins Produced (per 48) + .35 x Advanced Statistical Plus Minus + .15 x Win Shares (per 48)]
I didn't have access to the old Wins Produced numbers, so I just used position adjusted Win Score. Professor Berri says there is a .994 correlation between the two, so I felt pretty safe with this cop-out. Anyway, here are my All NBA Teams for 2013, based on the explanatory blend.
Alex came up with two "blends" of metrics during his study, the explanatory blend (described what happened) and the predictive blend (predicts what will happen next season). Obviously we'll be using the explanatory blend, to determine who the best players were in 2013. The rough formula for the blend is as follows:
[.5 x old Wins Produced (per 48) + .35 x Advanced Statistical Plus Minus + .15 x Win Shares (per 48)]
I didn't have access to the old Wins Produced numbers, so I just used position adjusted Win Score. Professor Berri says there is a .994 correlation between the two, so I felt pretty safe with this cop-out. Anyway, here are my All NBA Teams for 2013, based on the explanatory blend.
First Team
Chris Paul
Dwyane Wade
Kevin Durant
LeBron James
Anderson Verajao
Second Team
Russell Westbrook
James Harden
Kawhi Leonard
Tim Duncan
Andre Drummond
Third Team
Tony Parker
Kobe Bryant
Shawn Marion
Reggie Evans
Tyson Chandler
Chris Paul
Dwyane Wade
Kevin Durant
LeBron James
Anderson Verajao
Second Team
Russell Westbrook
James Harden
Kawhi Leonard
Tim Duncan
Andre Drummond
Third Team
Tony Parker
Kobe Bryant
Shawn Marion
Reggie Evans
Tyson Chandler
These weren't the top 15 players based on "The Blend", but I had to shift a few names around to make actual teams. Thanks to the Sports Skeptic, Basketball Reference, and GodismyjudgeOK, for providing the stats.
If anybody's interested (I know you are), I'm posting the "Blend" numbers for the top 30 players in 2013 on a side tab. To qualify for the list, you had to have played at least 20 minutes per game, and played 4 games (I know, very arbitrary).
If anybody's interested (I know you are), I'm posting the "Blend" numbers for the top 30 players in 2013 on a side tab. To qualify for the list, you had to have played at least 20 minutes per game, and played 4 games (I know, very arbitrary).